With the Australian Open in the rearview mirror, it’s never too early to start looking ahead to the second Grand Slam of the tennis season — the French Open.
Last year’s festivities at Roland Garros resulted in a historic final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, with the Spaniard coming back from two sets down and three points down to eventually win 4-6, 6-7 (4), 6-4, 7-6 (3), 7-6 (10-2).
Between them, Alcaraz and Sinner have shared the last nine major titles since the start of 2024. During this time, Alcaraz has lifted the trophy five times – including the most recent Australian Open – in four of Sinner’s. Not since Novak Djokovic at the 2023 US Open has anyone else on the men’s side won a slam title.
Therefore, it is not surprising that Alcaraz and Sinner are the big favorites to win the French Open this spring. In addition to making wagers on the tournament, you can use this tool to calculate the player’s estimated returns.
2026 French Open Men’s Singles Odds
Carlos Alcaraz +125
Jannik Sinner +140
Alexander Zverev +1100
Novak Djokovic +1400
Jack Draper +1800
Lorenzo Musetti +2000
Joao Fonseca +2200
Arthur Fils +3000
Casper Ruud +3500
Jakub Mensik +4000
Stefanos Tsitsipas +4000
Francisco Cerundolo +5000
Daniel Medvedev +5000
Ben Shelton +5000
Tommy Paul +5000
Taylor Fritz +5000
Although Sinner came incredibly close to victory last year, you have to think that Alcaraz has a clear edge on clay. The current world number 1 has won in Paris twice in a row, and the Italian has never been the last man standing in the tournament. Part of the reason for those results is the long-game statistical disparity between the two rivals. Clay court tournaments at Roland Garros are often the longest, most physically demanding challenges in tennis. This is where Alcaraz succeeds and Sinner fails. Alcaraz is 13-1 lifetime in five sets; by contrast, Sinner is 0-9 in matches that last more than three hours and 50 minutes.
Does anyone else have a chance at the French Open?
It’s hard to find value on other players in the outright Grand Slam market as victories are few and far between, but Lorenzo Musetti could nevertheless be one to watch at Roland Garros. Clay is the top Italian player and reached the semifinals last year before retiring against Alcaraz (Musetti won the first set and forced a tiebreaker in the second before eventually pulling away in the fourth). He succeeds in other areas, too. The current world No. 5 has reached at least the quarters at every other major, including the semis at Wimbledon in 2024.
Musetti is not too far behind Djokovic and Alexander Zverev in the rankings; if the 23-year-old can climb to No. 3 or in No. 4 before Roland Garros, he will avoid facing Alcaraz or Sinner at least until the end.
