Sunday Night Football in Week 16 of the 2025 NFL campaign is a game between the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens. The Patriots are where the Ravens thought they would be, coming in with an 11-3 record and holding on to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Baltimore, on the other hand, is a very disappointing 7-7.
Let’s get into my Patriots vs. Ravens.
New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens odds
Money line: Patriots +145 / Ravens -170
Spread: Patriots +3 (-105) / Ravens -3 (-115)
Total: Over 48.5 (-110) / Under 48.5 (-110)
New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens best bet #1: Patriots +3 (-105)
We have 15 weeks into the season – yes, of course a lot — and the bettors (and bettors) still seem to live in the past. Crows are very popular in this competition because…they are crows. However, the 15-week sample size is more than large enough to confirm that New England is the top team in 2025. It’s true that Baltimore plays at home on Sunday night (which is a -3 spread in their favor), but that shouldn’t matter. New England is better on the road (6-0) than in Foxborough (5-3); Baltimore is worse at home (3-5) than on the road (4-2).
Those are among the many reasons to love the opportunities for tourists. In addition, the Ravens rank 20th in EPA offensive metrics and are not the best on defense (16). They are No. 19 in EPA in pass defense and gave up 233.3 passing yards per game (No. 26). Baltimore is second to last in sacks. Meanwhile, New England is No. 6 in total offensive EPA and 12 in total defensive EPA. The Pats’ point differential is better than anyone in the NFL except for the top two teams in the NFC – the Seahawks and Rams. Finally, Lamar Jackson was thought to be an MVP candidate going into this year; instead, it is New England’s QB – Drake Maye – who is the frontrunner for that award.
New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens best player prop bet: TreVeyon Henderson Over 49.5 rushing yards (-110)
Henderson shares New England’s backfield with Rhamondre Stevenson, but it’s becoming increasingly clear that Henderson is the featured RB. In the last four outings, Henderson has gotten 25 more cars than Stevenson. The Ohio State product has thrown for 62 or more yards in five straight games, a stretch that includes performances of 147 and 148 yards. By comparison, Stevenson didn’t rush for more than 50 yards in any of the last four contests.
The Patriots are now going up against a Ravens defense that is respectable but lackluster against the run, giving up 111.1 yards per game to 4.2 yards per attempt.
