Thursday night football in week 11 of the NFL season is a showdown in the AFC East between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots. It has been the story of two very different 2025 campaigns for these two parties. New York comes in with a 2-7 record, while New England is at 8-2.
Let’s dive into the Jets vs. Patriots.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Adds
Money Line: Jets +575 / Patriots -850
Spread: Jets +12.5 (-105 (-105) / Patriots -12.5 (-110)
Total: Over 43.5 (-108) / Under 43.5 (-112)
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Best Bet #1: Under 43.5 (-112)
Maybe it’s because they have shorter weeks and less time to prepare, Thursday night football games tend to be poor, low-grossing (unless, of course, the Cincinnati Bengals are involved). These two teams are definitely not the Bengals. The jets have little similarity to the offense; The Patriots boast a stellar defense. Thus, the recipe exists for money.
The cold and windy conditions in Foxborough will also not help the offensive attack. Even in good conditions, it’s not like New York has the ability to send a large number. Aaron Glenn’s Head Coach Outfit is no better than NO. 26 in the NFL in EPA in passing, completion percentage, and touchdown percentage. It’s dead last on a passing charge. Why should we expect anything to change against New England? The Patriots top five safeties in all of the aforementioned categories. As for the Jets’ defense, it was cut back following the trade deadline but is still playing hard. New York gave up six passes to Cleveland QB Dillon Gabriel during last week’s win.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Best Player Bet: Drake Maye under 241.5 yards
Betting alas has no real knock on him. After all, he is currently the favorite to win the NFL MVP. The simple fact is that he will not throw enough passes to exceed this number. New England is a heavy favorite -12.5, so it is expected to play with a healthy lead from start to finish on Thursday. That means the home team is more likely to keep the ball on the ground and use the clock.
That’s what the pats have to do against the jets regardless, too. New York is very good against the pass (No. 8 league wide), allowing 190.8 yards per game on 6.8 yards per attempt. But of course, it’s not him. 25 Against the Run (138.2 yards per game allowed on 4.6 yards per carry).
